Learning from Data – Lessons from the Coronavirus Pandemic

Learning from Data   Lessons from the Coronavirus Pandemic   The Coronavirus pandemic has generated a level of media attention to data rarely seen. Data is pouring in from all parts of the World and various models are using that data to report likely outcomes in terms of cases, hospitalizations, and deaths. Government officials [...]

10 Laws

10 Laws I first came across Metcalfe's Law in a Forbes article "10 Laws of the Modern World." It was published nearly 15 years ago yesterday. The world is much different today but it is remarkable how these laws still hold. Social media is explained by the perfect storm of the first 5. With [...]

By | January 10th, 2020|Categories: Forecasting, Lessons Learned, Management, Strategy|Tags: , , |0 Comments

Time Discounting

Time Discounting The value of something promised in the future is less than the value of that same thing received today. This is the concept of time discounting. This concept is a corollary of compound interest which Albert Einstein called the 8th wonder of the world. $1,000 earning 5% compounded annually will grow to [...]

By | November 19th, 2019|Categories: Decision Making, Forecasting|Tags: , , |0 Comments

In An Uncertain Economy, Agility Is Essential

In An Uncertain Economy, Agility Is Essential Trade wars...Lower taxes...Privacy concerns endangering the most successful business models...Do you know where the economy is heading? Maintain flexibility, create options, be quick and agile.

By | April 9th, 2018|Categories: Forecasting, Management|Tags: , , , |0 Comments

5 Lessons from the Trump Campaign

5 Lessons from the Trump Campaign Most business people are thinking about the impact of Trump's presidency on their business. We may be able to have a greater impact on our businesses by focusing on lessons from his winning campaign strategy. When an outcome so shocks the common wisdom, there must be factors at play [...]

By | January 6th, 2017|Categories: Forecasting, Lessons Learned|Tags: , , |0 Comments

Embrace Uncertainty

Embrace Uncertainty Embrace uncertainty. I am a big fan of Excel, having been blown away when I first saw the power of Visicalc on an Apple. Unfortunately the analytical power of Excel sometimes leads us to depend too much on the forecasts we develop with it. We live in a world full of uncertainty, both [...]

By | January 6th, 2017|Categories: Forecasting|Tags: , , , |0 Comments